Part-Time Work in Retirement: Money and Purpose

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | November 6, 2026

By Alain Guillot

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Most people think of retirement as the moment they finally stop working. But what if part-time work in retirement could make your life richer, not just financially, but socially, emotionally, and intellectually?

We spend decades saving and investing so that one day we can afford to stop working. Yet when that day arrives, many retirees discover something unexpected: having enough money doesn’t necessarily mean having a fulfilling life.

I believe there’s a better way to think about retirement. Instead of asking, “When can I stop working?” perhaps we should ask, “What kind of work would I enjoy doing if I no longer needed the money?”

That simple change in perspective can transform retirement.

My personal experience: Working because I want to

I’m approaching 60, and I consider myself financially independent. I’ve spent years saving and investing, and I’ve built enough financial resources that I don’t need employment income to support my retirement lifestyle.

Nevertheless, I continue working approximately 20 hours per week as a dance teacher, earning around $2,000 per month.

That’s $24,000 per year.

I don’t need this money to pay my bills. But I enjoy earning it, and I enjoy the work that produces it.

Teaching dance keeps me physically active. It allows me to meet people, maintain friendships, participate in my community, and feel that I’m contributing something valuable.

There’s also something deeply satisfying about getting paid to do something I genuinely enjoy.

My work gives structure to my week without dominating my life. I have plenty of time for reading, writing, investing, socializing, and pursuing other interests.

For me, this is an ideal balance between work and retirement.

And the additional income? That’s a wonderful bonus.

The Financial Power of Part-Time Work in Retirement

Let’s look at the numbers, because the financial benefits can be surprisingly large.

Financial planners frequently discuss the 4% rule, a retirement guideline suggesting that a retiree might initially withdraw approximately 4% of their investment portfolio annually, adjusting subsequent withdrawals for inflation.

Under this framework, every $1,000 of annual retirement income is roughly equivalent to having $25,000 invested.

Consider the following examples:

Think about that last number.

By earning $2,000 per month teaching dance, I generate the same initial annual cash flow that a $600,000 investment portfolio would provide under the 4% guideline.

Of course, this doesn’t mean my part-time job is literally worth $600,000. Investment assets can appreciate, provide income without requiring work, and potentially be passed to heirs. Employment income depends on my continuing to work.

Still, the comparison illustrates how powerful even modest earnings can be.

You don’t need to Earn $2,000 per Month

Not everyone wants to work 20 hours per week.

Suppose you enjoy gardening and earn $500 per month helping neighbors maintain their gardens.

That’s $6,000 per year.

Using the same 4% comparison, this income is equivalent to the initial annual withdrawal from a $150,000 portfolio.

For someone concerned about having enough retirement savings, that additional income can make a meaningful difference.

The key isn’t to earn as much as possible. It’s to find an amount of work that improves your life rather than complicates it.

Four reasons to consider Part-Time Work in Retirement

1. Your Retirement Savings can Last Longer

One of the biggest financial concerns retirees face is outliving their savings.

Imagine two retirees, each with a $500,000 investment portfolio.

The first needs to withdraw $30,000 annually to cover living expenses.

The second has the same expenses but earns $12,000 annually from enjoyable part-time work. That person only needs to withdraw $18,000 from investments.

The difference is substantial.

By withdrawing less money, the second retiree gives their portfolio more opportunity to grow and recover from market downturns.

Over 10 or 20 years, this can meaningfully improve financial security.

The exact outcome depends on investment returns, inflation, taxes, and how long the person continues working.

2. You can Afford more Experiences

Not everyone wants to leave a large inheritance or accumulate the biggest possible investment portfolio.

Some people simply want to enjoy life.

An extra $500 or $1,000 per month could finance travel, restaurant meals, concerts, hobbies, or visits with family.

If your basic expenses are already covered by pensions and investments, part-time income can become discretionary spending money.

You might even create a simple rule: all earnings from your retirement gig go toward experiences rather than necessities.

Imagine paying for an annual vacation entirely with money earned from a hobby you enjoy.

That’s a pretty attractive arrangement.

3. Work provides Purpose and Social Connections

We often underestimate how much our professional lives contribute to our identities.

Work provides routines, challenges, relationships, and a sense of accomplishment.

When people retire, some lose these connections almost overnight.

Suddenly, there’s no workplace to visit, no colleagues to talk to, and no clear reason to get out of the house at a particular time.

For some retirees, that freedom is wonderful. For others, it can eventually lead to boredom, isolation, or a loss of purpose.

Part-time work offers a middle ground.

Retirement also gives us the freedom to explore new social activities and become more involved in our communities. For example, attending live comedy shows is a great way to meet people, enjoy an evening out, and support local performers. Whether through dancing, comedy, or other community activities, staying socially engaged can make retirement more fulfilling.

In my case, teaching dance gives me regular opportunities to interact with people. I meet students, share experiences, laugh, and participate in an active social environment.

I don’t think of those hours as an obligation. They’re an enjoyable part of my life.

The money matters, but the relationships matter just as much.

4. Work can keep your Mind and Body Active

Retirement shouldn’t mean withdrawing from life.

Depending on the activity, part-time work can provide physical movement, mental stimulation, and opportunities to learn new skills.

A retired accountant helping small businesses might enjoy solving financial problems.

A former teacher tutoring students might find satisfaction in watching young people improve.

A retiree working at a garden center might enjoy spending time around plants and other gardening enthusiasts.

As a dance teacher, I have the added benefit of staying physically active while working.

Of course, paid employment isn’t the only way to obtain these benefits. Volunteering, hobbies, community organizations, and family activities can be equally meaningful.

But when enjoyable work provides those benefits and generates income, it becomes especially attractive.

The Best Retirement Job is not necessarily the highest-paying One

During our working years, we often make career decisions based on salary, promotions, and financial obligations.

Retirement gives us the opportunity to change those priorities.

You might accept a lower-paying job because you enjoy the people, the activity, or the flexibility.

A retired executive who once managed hundreds of employees might be perfectly happy working two mornings per week in a bookstore.

Someone who spent decades sitting behind a desk might enjoy walking dogs.

A former engineer might discover that teaching mathematics to teenagers is more satisfying than managing large projects.

The goal is not to maximize income. The goal is to maximize life satisfaction.

That’s an important distinction.

If your retirement job creates stress, damages your health, or prevents you from enjoying your freedom, it may defeat the purpose.

Seven Part-time Jobs worth considering in Retirement

Here are some possibilities that can combine modest income with personal satisfaction:

Teaching or tutoring: Share your expertise in languages, mathematics, music, dance, or another subject. My friend Cheryl teaches English as a second language and she loves it.
Pet sitting or dog walking: Spend time with animals while earning additional income and staying active.
Consulting: Offer your professional knowledge to businesses without returning to full-time employment.
Tour guiding: Share your enthusiasm for local history, architecture, or culture with visitors.
Freelance writing or editing: Work from home on a flexible schedule, especially if you enjoy communication.
Gardening or home services: Help neighbors with landscaping, small repairs, or seasonal projects.
Working in a bookstore, museum, or community center: Combine a pleasant environment with regular social interaction.

The possibilities are nearly endless.

You could also turn an existing hobby into a small business, although not every hobby needs to become a source of income.

The most important question is whether you would still enjoy the activity after it becomes a paid responsibility.

How to choose the Right Retirement Gig

Before accepting a part-time job or starting a small business, consider a few questions.

Would I enjoy doing this even if I didn’t need the Money?

This is my favorite test.

If the answer is yes, you’re probably moving in the right direction.

How much Time am I willing to Commit?

For me, 20 hours per week feels comfortable.

For someone else, five hours might be ideal.

There’s no universal answer. Your schedule should leave enough time for everything else you want to experience.

Will the Work Improve my Social Life?

Some jobs provide regular opportunities to interact with others.

Others, such as freelance writing, might involve working alone.

Neither is inherently better. Choose according to your personality and needs.

Will it Create Financial or Administrative Complications?

Additional income can affect taxes, income-tested government benefits, and eligibility for certain programs.

In Canada, for example, employment or self-employment income may affect benefits such as the Guaranteed Income Supplement. Old Age Security recovery tax rules may also matter at higher income levels.

Self-employed retirees should also account for business expenses, applicable pension contributions, and tax obligations.

The financial benefit should be evaluated using after-tax income, not just gross earnings.

Part-time Work can also Reduce Retirement Anxiety

One of the psychological challenges of Retirement is transitioning from accumulating money to spending it.

For decades, we develop the habit of saving.

Then suddenly we’re supposed to start withdrawing from our investments.

Even when the mathematics suggests that we have enough, spending down our savings can feel uncomfortable.

Part-time income can help ease that transition.

Knowing that money continues arriving every month may make it easier to enjoy retirement without constantly worrying about investment balances.

I find that my own earnings provide an additional sense of security, even though my financial plan doesn’t depend on them.

If markets decline, I have some income that doesn’t require selling investments.

That flexibility is valuable.

It doesn’t eliminate investment risk or guarantee financial security, but it creates another layer of protection.

Don’t Postpone Retirement just to keep Earning Money

There’s an important warning here.

I am not suggesting that everyone should continue working indefinitely.

Some people have spent decades doing physically demanding jobs. Others have health problems, caregiving responsibilities, or simply no desire to work anymore.

For them, retirement without employment may be the best possible choice.

And if you already have enough money, there’s no reason to sacrifice your freedom for additional income you don’t need.

The objective is not to turn retirement into another career.

It’s to recognize that work can be one of several enjoyable activities in a fulfilling retirement.

You should feel free to stop whenever the activity no longer brings you satisfaction. Continue Reading…

Theme Investing: Trendy stocks will often lead you into losses

Posted By Pat McKeough | November 5, 2026

Theme investing, particularly when snatched from the latest headlines, may seem appealing: but more often than not will lead to poor returns

Theme investors zero in on something that’s going on in the world — in business, politics, technology or society as a whole — and try to cash in on it, directly or indirectly. You can get lucky with trendy theme investing, but there’s a large element of risk. Interest in the theme may slump sooner than you expected. Or, your enthusiasm for the theme may lead you to drop your guard. It may spur you to put money in stocks or other investments that are drastically over-priced or fundamentally flawed.

Focusing on a theme that’s in the headlines can help you identify potentially high-profit investment and business opportunities. But trying to cash in on a theme is inherently risky.

An example of theme investing in the resource sector

For example, the rising price of gold was a popular investing theme during much of the first decade of this century. As gold rose from under $300 to more than $1,800 per ounce, it presented a wide variety of profit-making opportunities. But the rising price of the metal was no guarantee of profit. Gold-themed investments — collectors’ coins, penny stocks, gold-based futures and options trading — gave promoters lots of ways to create low-quality investments to sell to gold-seeking investors.

Theme investing within the green energy market

Green energy comes from renewable resources like solar power, wind power, geothermal power and generating electricity from ocean waves. Green energy investing has become more popular in the past few years, as concern over the environment has grown.

Green energy can be considered to be an investment theme. However, as with all investment themes, we’ve always recommended that you choose green energy stocks very carefully to profit. That’s because many of these companies have only limited investment appeal.

Investors interested in green energy should know that these firms often need a long time to move from the research or concept stage to profitability. As well, governments often cut subsidies for renewable energy development when they struggle with high budget deficits.

To cut your risk, we recommend that you focus on green energy stocks that already have a sound base of other operations, preferably businesses that provide steady revenue streams. That helps offset the risks of expanding into renewable-power production.

Avoid theme investing in ETFs or mutual funds

If the ETF or mutual fund’s theme seems to be plucked from recent headlines, stay away. It pays to stay out of narrow-focus, faddish funds, all the more so if they’ve come to market when the fad dominates the financial headlines. Good examples are ETFs or other funds that invest in cryptocurrencies or related firms.

Trendy theme funds like these face a double disadvantage because they appeal to impulsive investors who pour in their money just as the fad hits its peak. This forces the manager to pay top prices — perhaps to bid prices higher than they’d otherwise go — even if this goes against their better judgment. These same investors are also apt to flee when prices hit their lows, forcing the ETF or mutual fund manager to sell at the bottom and lowering the fund’s performance. But when a fad fades, as they all do, the fund’s liquidity dies out with it. The manager may have to dump the fund’s holdings when demand is at its weakest, forcing prices lower than they would otherwise go.

The appeal of theme investing tilts the odds against you in two ways

First, the appeal of hot themes attracts naïve investors. They, in turn, bid up the prices you have to pay to invest.

Second, the excitement surrounding the theme attracts opportunists who simply want to create investments and business ventures that are easy to sell, regardless of their chance of long-term success. This cuts the average quality of available investments. Continue Reading…

Early retirement healthcare in Canada: a province-by-province comparison guide

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | November 3, 2026

Image courtesy Tawcan/unsplash

If you’re like me, you probably haven’t really thought about healthcare in early retirement until you get closer to this major milestone, because you just assume that, as a Canadian, universal healthcare is there to cover everything.

Despite having universal healthcare, I believe it’s still important to keep in mind all the different provincial rules and benefits. My previous article primarily focused on BC, so I want to compare early retirement healthcare options in each province. Furthermore, I want to explore options like moving provinces to lower your cost of living, and what if you decided to live abroad most of the year… What happens to your healthcare coverage?

Let’s find out.

Many years ago, it was true that you paid for provincial health coverage. But fast-forward to today, that’s no longer true in most provinces.

Here in B.C., the government eliminated the MSP (medical service plan) premium back on January 1, 2020. The BC provincial healthcare is now funded through tax revenues. Similarly, Alberta got rid of the health premium in 2009. If you look across Canada, most provinces have removed the provincial healthcare premiums and provincial healthcare is now funded through general tax revenues.

But the two big Canadian provinces still charge premiums.

Ontario charges an Ontario Health Premium, collected through your income tax return and it is based on your income. If your taxable income is under $20,000, you do not have to pay anything. The premium scales up $0 to a maximum of $900 per year for high-income earners.

So yes, for the most part, you don’t have to pay the monthly provincial health premiums anymore. Instead, you are paying via provincial income tax or other provincial taxes.

The gaps that universal healthcare doesn’t cover

The universal healthcare we have in Canada covers many things, especially the big expenses, but it doesn’t cover everything. Our universal healthcare falls short on the following:

Prescription drugs
Dental care
Vison
Paramedical services like physio, massage, chiropractor, counselling, etc
Out-of-country medical care

Government-assisted plans for dental & prescription

Prescription drugs can be quite costly, but two provinces have programs to help with that.

Here in B.C., the Fair PharmaCare program covers prescription drugs with a deductible based on your family’s net income from two years ago. You have to pay a deductible first, then Fair PharmaCare covers 70% (or 75% if someone in your family was born before 1940). Once you hit the family maximum, Fair PharmaCare pays 100% of the eligible costs for the rest of the year. You can find the family deductible amount here. For early retirees in BC who need prescription drugs, the Fair PharmaCare program can be a good option.

In Quebec, prescription drug insurance is mandatory. So if you have access to a private plan, you must take it. If you don’t have a private plan, you are automatically enrolled and covered by the public plan. This public plan has a premium that’s income-based via your tax return. Interestingly, Quebec is the only Canadian province that legally requires you to have prescription drug insurance.

Outside of B.C. and Quebec, prescription drug coverage for early retirees is limited. The provincial prescription drug coverage is typically aimed at seniors and people with specific conditions. Below is the summary for the different provinces:

B.C.: Fair PharmaCare. Your deductible and family maximum are calculated from your net income. Lower-income households (including many seniors) have low or zero deductibles.
Alberta: Albertans 65+ have premium-free coverage for prescription drugs on the Alberta Drug Benefit list, administered by Alberta Blue Cross. The copayment is 30% to a maximum of $35. Outpatient cancer therapy and palliative-care patients have separate, copay-free or specialized coverage.
Saskatchewan: eligible seniors 65 and older pay $25 per prescription under the Seniors’ Drug Plan. To qualify, your net income must be $79,487 or less on your 2024 income tax return to be eligible for 2026. There is also coverage for palliative-care drugs and long term disability and illnesses.
Manitoba: Manitoba Pharmacare provides drug assistance to eligible Manitobans via an income-based deductible. Once your spending hits the deductible, the program covers eligible drugs. The Manitoba Enhanced Pharmacare Program covers most medications for residents with certain conditions who aren’t covered through other public programs.
Ontario: 65+ Ontario residents automatically qualify for the Ontario Drug Benefit program. Lower-income seniors can apply for the Seniors Co-Payment program, under which recipients pay no annual deductible and co-payment of $2 or less. The Trillium Drug Program supports lower and modest-income people by covering about 5,000 drugs plus about 1,000 more drugs through the Exceptional Access Program. You pay up to $2 per prescription. The deductible is capped at roughly 4% of household income. (Note, my additional research showed it may actually be more complicated. There’s a $100 annual deductible (Aug-Aug) after which most drugs on Trillium are covered fully, except for the $4.11 dispensing fee).
Quebec: universal/mandatory. Seniors automatically register for the public plan at 65, and many low-income seniors pay a reduced or zero premium.
Nova Scotia: the seniors’ Pharmacare program is open to residents 65+ with a valid health card who don’t have other drug coverage. Members pay an income-based annual premium plus an annual copayment, both with maximums, with the province covering the rest. Separate coverage exists for cancer patients and palliative care.
New Brunswick: The Prescription Drug Program covers low-income families and seniors.
Prince Edward Island: all eligible residents are automatically enrolled in the seniors’ drug plan the month they turn 65. The Family Health Benefit Drug Program and Financial Assistance Drug Program are available for low-income residents and families.
Newfoundland & Labrador: the 65Plus Plan covers residents 65 and older who receive Old Age Security and the Guaranteed Income Supplement. The Foundation Plan and the Access Plan cover low-income individuals and families.

So if you’re an early retiree and not yet 65 or older, you probably need to self-cover prescription drugs.

Dental care can be another big expense for families. Fortunately, as of 2026, the Canadian Dental Care Plan (CDCP) is available to eligible Canadian residents regardless of age, as long as your adjusted family net income is under $90,000 and you don’t have access to private dental insurance. For households under $70,000 net income, you will get full coverage with no co-pay. Between $70k and $90k, you get partial coverage. Therefore, for an early retiree without a group plan and a modest reported income, the CDCP may be able to cover dental care.

Out-of-country coverage: very important to consider

Many retirees will want to travel for an extended period, sometimes outside Canada. This begs the question: What should you do for out-of-country health coverage?

This is why, if you are travelling outside of Canada, it is critical to get travel insurance, regardless of your health conditions. It’s better to be safe than sorry.

Fortunately, many premium credit cards have travel insurance benefits. For example, TD Infinite Visa has a $2 million travel medical insurance for the first 21 days for holders 65 and under. Unfortunately, if you’re 65 or older, these credit-card travel insurance benefits drop significantly. In TD Infinite Visa’s case, the coverage drops to four days. Based on my research, if you are 65+, the best credit cards for travel insurance are the National Bank World Elite Mastercard and Desjardin Odyssey Visa Infinite Privilege (15 days up for seniors aged 65-75). The Scotiabank Platinum American Express and Scotiabank Gold American Express cards also offer 10 days of travel insurance for seniors 65 and older.

Keep in mind the three-month gap

If you decide to move to another province to reduce your cost of living, you need to keep in mind the three-month requirement.

Provinces typically have a waiting period of up to three months before the “new” provincial health coverage kicks in. During that window, you will need to rely on your “old” province to continue to cover you. Basically, you need to make sure you register promptly once you settle in the new province so you don’t end up with no health coverage for a brief period.

Similarly, if you go out of the country for an extended time (i.e. more than six months), you are no longer eligible for provincial health coverage, so you will need to cover yourself via health insurance.

Here’s a simplified comparison of health coverage for the different provinces. Continue Reading…

How Market Volatility shapes Trading Decisions

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | November 2, 2026

Understand how market swings influence investment decisions and discover practical ways to protect financial stability while navigating Retirement.

Federal Reserve Building; Image courtesy Adobe Stock/Logical Position

By Dan Coconate

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Financial markets rarely move in a straight line. Economic announcements, interest rate changes, and unexpected global events can send asset prices sharply higher or lower. For investors approaching Retirement, these movements can raise questions about when to trade, whether to adjust their portfolios, and how much uncertainty they can comfortably accept.

Understanding market unpredictability helps investors make informed decisions without allowing short-term fluctuations to dictate their financial future.

Although price movements create opportunities for active traders, they also introduce risks. Recognizing how market volatility shapes trading decisions and investment strategies can help Canadian and American investors maintain financial confidence.

What causes Financial Markets to become Volatile?

Volatility describes how significantly an asset’s price changes over a particular period. Rapid price movements indicate greater volatility, while smaller fluctuations generally suggest calmer conditions. Several economic developments can influence these changes.

Interest Rates and Economic Announcements

Interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada can influence Canadian stocks, bonds, and the Canadian dollar. When interest rates rise unexpectedly, borrowing becomes more expensive.

Businesses may face higher financing costs, while consumers reduce spending. Investors then reassess corporate earnings and economic expectations, potentially triggering market movements.

Inflation reports and employment figures can produce similar reactions. Markets respond to economic information and how closely it matches expectations. Even positive news can cause prices to decline if it falls short of investor expectations.

Global Events and Investor Sentiment

Political uncertainty, international conflicts, and trade disruptions can influence financial markets worldwide. Canada’s economy maintains strong connections to commodity markets. Changes in oil prices, for example, can affect Canadian energy companies and investor sentiment.

Market psychology can amplify these movements. When uncertainty increases, cautious investors may sell their holdings, creating additional downward pressure.

However, volatility does not necessarily indicate a lasting economic decline. Prices may stabilize as investors gain clarity about changing conditions.

How Market fluctuations influence Trading behaviour

Price movements affect more than portfolio values. They can also change how investors interpret information and make decisions.

Fear can encourage Premature Selling

When markets decline sharply, it can compel investors to sell before their holdings lose additional value. This reaction can become particularly concerning for Canadians nearing retirement, who may have less time to recover from substantial losses.

Selling during a downturn can lock in losses that might otherwise remain temporary. Investors who exit the market may also miss a subsequent recovery.

Instead of treating every decline as a reason to sell, investors can evaluate any changes to their original investment assumptions.

Rising Markets can encourage Excessive Risk

Strong market performance creates a different challenge.

When prices climb quickly, investors may assume favourable conditions will continue. Some increase their exposure to volatile investments without considering potential losses.

This behaviour can produce portfolios or trading positions that exceed an individual’s financial capacity.

Past gains cannot guarantee future returns. Recognizing emotional influences helps investors distinguish thoughtful decisions from impulsive reactions.

How Volatility changes Trading Strategies

Market volatility can shape different trading strategies and decisions. Active traders may interpret larger price movements as opportunities, while long-term investors may see them as reasons to reassess portfolio risk.

Understanding Price Trends and Technical Indicators

Technical analysis examines historical prices and trading activity to identify patterns that may inform decisions. Traders use indicators to evaluate momentum and changing market conditions.

For example, the Average True Range measures price movement over a specific period. A rising reading indicates wider trading ranges but does not predict price direction.

Investors interested in these techniques can explore educational resources covering futures trading indicators and volatility management to better understand how traders evaluate price movements and potential hedging approaches.

These tools provide context but cannot reliably predict future prices. Futures contracts also involve leverage and substantial financial risk, making them unsuitable for many retirement investors.

Adjusting Position sizes during Uncertain Conditions

Active traders may reduce position sizes when price movements become unusually large. Smaller positions limit capital exposure, although they cannot eliminate losses.

Consider an investor who normally allocates $10,000 to a trading position. If market conditions become less predictable, reducing that position may help limit potential losses.

The appropriate adjustment depends on available capital and individual risk tolerance.

Some traders also use stop-loss orders to establish intended exit points. However, rapid price movements can cause these orders to execute at less favourable prices than expected. Understanding these limitations supports more disciplined decision-making.

Why Volatility matters more near Retirement

Investors approaching Retirement face different financial considerations than younger individuals. Someone preparing to withdraw retirement income may have little time to recover from a prolonged downturn.

The Importance of Withdrawal Timing

Market declines become particularly damaging when retirees must sell investments to cover living expenses.

Consider a retiree holding a $600,000 portfolio. A 20% decline reduces its value to $480,000 before withdrawals. If the retiree continues selling investments during the downturn, fewer assets remain available to participate in a recovery. Traders refer to this challenge as sequence-of-returns risk.

The order in which investment gains and losses occur can significantly influence how long retirement savings last.

Balancing Growth with Financial Stability

Retirement does not necessarily mean eliminating investment risk.

Canadians may spend decades in retirement, making long-term growth important even after employment income ends. However, an investment strategy that suits someone at age 40 may become obsolete at 65. Continue Reading…

The Midterm Market Effect

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | October 30, 2026

By Chris Galipeau, Franklin Templeton Institute

(Sponsor Blog)

US midterm elections take place on Tuesday, November 3. Currently, the Republican party is in control of the House and the Senate. This vote will essentially be a referendum on the Republican party’s body of work. It’s likely the composition of either the House or the Senate will change. The question for investors is simple: Does this matter for your money?

What follows is a historical look at equity market performance under a Republican president and different compositions of Congress. Exhibit 1 illustrates equity market returns under a Republican president with differing congressional control.

Small samples: GOP both reflects a single midterm (2002). Forward returns from the election-day close in trading days (12M = 252). Sources: Franklin Templeton Institute, S&P Global, Bloomberg, Macrobond. As of October 5, 2026. There is no assurance that any estimate, forecast or projection will be realized. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. They do not reflect any fees, expenses or sales charges. Past performance does not predict future returns.

The key takeaway is that one-year forward S&P 500 returns were positive under all combinations of executive branch leadership under a Republican president going back to 1954.

Exhibit 2 digs deeper and shows a breakdown of sector performance.

Conclusion

Investors have a tendency to believe that politics heavily influence equity markets. The reality is quite different historically after midterm elections. We can’t state with certainty that history will repeat and we must be cognizant that there are many other factors involved in returns; namely corporate fundamentals, the level and direction of interest rates, regulation, policy changes, etc.

Christian J. Galipeau is head market strategist at the Franklin Templeton Institute, where he serves as one of the firm’s foremost voices on global capital markets, economic trends, and investment strategy. Chris brings more than 30 years of investment industry experience to his role, anchored by an entrepreneurial career that spans equity research, portfolio management, and multi-asset strategy.

He began his career in 1992 as Marketing Director at Fidelity Investments, before founding Alpha Equity Research in 1994. His research excellence earned him national recognition — he was named the top-ranked equity research provider in the United States by CNN/Money Magazine in 2002, a distinction that reflects the analytical depth and client focus he has carried throughout his career. Following his tenure at Alpha, Chris served as Director of Equity Research and Portfolio Manager at DG Capital Management before joining Putnam Investments. He has been a member of the Franklin Templeton family since Putnam’s integration into the firm.

Continue Reading…